Colón C-3 vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 2
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
COL
2 - 1
MSM
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +3 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SUN
1 - 1
COL
69%
18%
12%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
COL
0 - 5
COS
26%
29%
45%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 1
COL
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
OES
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SMA
3 - 1
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 2
CHI
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
0 - 0
NAC
28%
26%
47%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
CEN
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |