Colón C-3 vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 2
COL
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
RIV
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VER
2 - 1
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
CEN
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SUN
3 - 1
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
TIE
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
OES
3 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
5 - 1
RIV
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |