Colón C-3 vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
VIS
0 - 1
COL
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 5
MIL
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -3 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SUN
2 - 0
COL
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
CHI
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
OES
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
CHI
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
COS
0 - 2
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 0
NAC
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 1
VIS
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |