Colón C-3 vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
COL
3 - 2
MSM
40%
25%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
COL
1 - 7
SUN
34%
26%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
CEN
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
ORI
71%
18%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
TIE
2 - 2
COL
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
TIE
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
MSM
0 - 0
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 2
ORI
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ORI
2 - 1
NAC
19%
24%
58%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SUN
1 - 0
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |