Colón C-3 vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
MSM
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CEN
5 - 2
COL
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
ORI
0 - 4
COL
32%
26%
43%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
COL
2 - 3
TIE
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
TIE
66%
20%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
MSM
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
SUN
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
NAC
28%
25%
48%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |