Colón C-3 vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
46.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TAU
3 - 2
COL
76%
17%
8%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
SFF
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
COL
72%
19%
10%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
CHE
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
AFC
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
SMI
1 - 0
ARA
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 1
AMA
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARA
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 1
ARA
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |