Colón C-3 vs AD Orión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colón C-3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
TIE
2 - 2
COL
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SUN
6 - 1
COL
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
COL
0 - 2
NAC
42%
26%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
MSM
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CEN
5 - 2
COL
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
AD Orión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
ORI
68%
19%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SUN
4 - 1
ORI
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
TIE
2 - 1
ORI
63%
20%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
MSM
5 - 0
ORI
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
ORI
0 - 4
COL
32%
26%
43%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -2 |