Colognese vs Trento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colognese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ACC
1 - 1
COL
24%
26%
51%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
COL
0 - 2
FCC
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
COL
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
COL
3 - 0
VIL
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
DAR
2 - 2
COL
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 1
VOG
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 1
TRE
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TRE
0 - 2
LEG
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
OLG
5 - 1
TRE
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TRE
0 - 1
PON
23%
24%
54%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |