Colima vs Lobos ULMX analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
10º
4º
14
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 13 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
GAV
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
COR
4 - 5
COL
29%
23%
48%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
INT
78%
15%
8%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 1
COL
60%
24%
17%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
REB
2 - 1
COL
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LUL
3 - 2
REB
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GAV
0 - 0
LUL
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LUL
3 - 3
CAT
72%
15%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
COR
2 - 2
LUL
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
LUL
2 - 1
ATS
21%
24%
55%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +2 |