Cognac vs Niort II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
48.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
ROD
3 - 0
COG
60%
22%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
COG
4 - 1
TOF
32%
26%
43%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +3 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ANG
0 - 0
COG
74%
19%
8%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
COG
0 - 0
MON
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
BRI
0 - 0
COG
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
NIO
4 - 0
TAR
42%
26%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
BLA
2 - 1
NIO
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
NIO
1 - 0
TRE
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
BER
2 - 2
NIO
62%
22%
17%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
ROD
1 - 1
NIO
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |