Coatepeque vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
COA
3 - 0
SJF
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 0
COA
47%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
COA
2 - 0
SPD
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
PUE
2 - 1
COA
27%
25%
49%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
COA
2 - 1
VEN
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
2 - 0
NUE
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NUE
0 - 1
PUE
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LEO
2 - 0
NUE
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
NUE
1 - 3
QUI
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SJF
2 - 2
NUE
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |