12 de Octubre vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
55.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
12O
0 - 3
AME
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
12O
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
12O
1 - 1
GEN
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
12O
1 - 3
CCP
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 1
CCP
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 5
LIB
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 1
RÑU
59%
24%
18%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LQE
0 - 0
LIB
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |