Club Fortuna vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PUL
3 - 1
FOR
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
MOR
24%
25%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LHO
2 - 2
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 0
FOR
39%
25%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
CAL
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 1
CAL
28%
25%
48%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 0
PIN
18%
22%
61%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABA
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 0
CIE
15%
21%
64%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
PUT
0 - 2
ABA
68%
19%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |