Aurora vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
BLO
3 - 0
AUR
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
AUR
0 - 0
STR
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 2
AUR
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
AUR
0 - 1
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
UNI
2 - 0
AUR
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
JWI
2 - 1
REA
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 3
JWI
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2007 |
JWI
0 - 2
LAP
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
LAP
0 - 0
JWI
42%
28%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
JWI
2 - 2
RPO
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |