Bartolomé Mitre vs Jorge Gibson Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bartolomé Mitre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
JGB
1 - 4
ABM
15%
21%
65%
|
66 | 20 | 46 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ABM
6 - 0
RAP
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 9 | 57 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PCD
0 - 3
ABM
16%
22%
62%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RAP
1 - 2
ABM
13%
20%
68%
|
66 | 9 | 57 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ABM
2 - 1
PCD
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Jorge Gibson Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
JGB
1 - 4
ABM
15%
21%
65%
|
20 | 66 | 46 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
JGB
4 - 1
MGH
87%
9%
4%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AOB
0 - 1
JGB
12%
16%
73%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
JGB
1 - 0
BTP
82%
12%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MGH
1 - 5
JGB
8%
14%
78%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |