Civitavecchia vs Astrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitavecchia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
BAC
3 - 2
CIV
61%
22%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CIV
1 - 2
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ARZ
2 - 1
CIV
54%
24%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CIV
0 - 1
SEL
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 2
CIV
40%
25%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 1
AST
31%
25%
45%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
AST
1 - 1
ARZ
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
SEL
2 - 3
AST
65%
19%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AST
1 - 0
PAL
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SOR
0 - 2
AST
74%
17%
10%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +2 |