Civitanovese vs Alfonsine FC 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 0
CIV
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CIV
0 - 2
SAM
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 0
CIV
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
JES
3 - 2
CIV
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 0
CAS
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
ALF
78%
14%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JES
2 - 1
ALF
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 1
OLY
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PIN
3 - 2
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |