Ciudad de Lucena vs UD Tomares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
CDL
15%
24%
61%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CDL
1 - 0
POZ
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 2
CDL
16%
24%
60%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CDL
0 - 0
CDA
69%
19%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SEV
1 - 2
CDL
24%
26%
49%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
UD Tomares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
UTR
1 - 0
UDT
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
REC
1 - 0
UDT
80%
14%
7%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
UDT
1 - 0
CRD
14%
20%
66%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +3 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
UDT
0 - 0
CAR
48%
23%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
POZ
1 - 0
UDT
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |