Ciudad de Lucena vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CDL
3 - 0
XER
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAD
0 - 1
CDL
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CDL
5 - 2
LCF
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CCF
0 - 0
CDL
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CDL
3 - 1
OVA
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
EST
2 - 2
XER
43%
25%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
XER
2 - 2
EST
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
EST
2 - 1
ADS
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAD
4 - 2
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |