Ciudad de Lucena vs Arcos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+109%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SRQ
1 - 0
CDL
31%
25%
45%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CDL
0 - 0
UTR
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SEV
1 - 2
CDL
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CDL
2 - 0
CIS
56%
22%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ECI
2 - 0
CDL
61%
21%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ARC
0 - 1
CRD
18%
22%
61%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ALG
1 - 1
ARC
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ARC
0 - 0
CDG
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
XER
0 - 0
ARC
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ARC
0 - 1
LEB
40%
24%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |