Ciserano vs Varesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
42.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
CIS
37%
24%
38%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CIS
0 - 0
PSM
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 3
CIS
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 1
PIA
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
SER
3 - 1
CIS
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Varesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
VBE
58%
20%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
INV
2 - 2
VAR
27%
22%
51%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VAR
5 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LEC
4 - 1
VAR
31%
23%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 2
VAR
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |