Ciserano vs Sondrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ASS
3 - 2
CIS
72%
17%
10%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CIS
3 - 1
VAR
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
CIS
37%
24%
38%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CIS
0 - 0
PSM
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 3
CIS
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sondrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SON
2 - 2
VBE
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
INV
2 - 1
SON
65%
19%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SON
1 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 0
SON
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SON
1 - 1
MAP
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |