Cipolletti vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cipolletti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
CIP
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2009 |
CIP
3 - 1
RSA
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2008 |
CIP
1 - 0
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CIP
0 - 0
RIV
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
GBR
1 - 2
CIP
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
ALV
1 - 4
GBR
29%
27%
45%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2009 |
HUR
1 - 1
ALV
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2008 |
RIV
3 - 0
ALV
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALV
63%
22%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ALV
1 - 3
RSA
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |