Cimarrones de Sonora vs UA Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 2
CIM
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CIM
1 - 2
NEC
18%
25%
58%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CSL
0 - 3
CIM
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ZAC
4 - 0
CIM
74%
19%
8%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CIM
3 - 0
TEP
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ZAC
2 - 3
CSL
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
TEP
1 - 2
ZAC
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ZAC
2 - 1
MON
28%
25%
48%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
DUR
1 - 2
ZAC
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ZAC
2 - 2
DOR
37%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |