Cimarrones de Sonora vs UA Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CIM
3 - 1
EST
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TEP
2 - 0
CIM
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CIM
3 - 0
TAM
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
REY
1 - 1
CIM
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
DUR
0 - 3
CIM
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ZAC
0 - 4
SOL
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
TAM
1 - 0
ZAC
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
EST
2 - 2
ZAC
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ZAC
1 - 0
MUR
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
TEP
2 - 1
ZAC
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |