Cimarrones de Sonora vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
68%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAF
1 - 0
CIM
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
CIM
1 - 2
ZAC
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
3 - 1
CIM
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
ZAC
1 - 2
CIM
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
CIM
2 - 3
ZAC
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
TIJ
6 - 2
PUE
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 0
TIJ
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TIJ
3 - 2
LEO
38%
26%
37%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 0
TIJ
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
VER
2 - 1
TIJ
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |