Cimarrones de Sonora vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
53.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
ZAC
4 - 0
CIM
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CIM
2 - 0
TOR
20%
26%
54%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
CIM
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CIM
0 - 1
JUA
17%
26%
57%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MER
1 - 0
CIM
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 1
JUA
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 1
CAF
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
TEP
4 - 0
CAF
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 1
ZAC
41%
23%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
ZAC
2 - 1
CAF
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |