Cimarrones II vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LEO
4 - 1
CSI
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CSI
0 - 2
GUA
26%
24%
51%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
TIJ
3 - 1
CSI
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CSI
1 - 1
MUR
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
REY
0 - 1
CSI
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DUR
1 - 0
TIG
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
REY
1 - 0
DUR
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
DUR
0 - 0
ATV
58%
22%
21%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
DUR
45%
27%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DUR
0 - 0
TDS
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |