Cieza vs Sangonera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
57.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CIU
2 - 0
CIE
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CIE
3 - 2
YEC
36%
26%
38%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
IMP
1 - 0
CIE
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CIE
2 - 2
PIN
18%
24%
57%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
BAL
1 - 0
CIE
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sangonera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
OLI
0 - 3
LOR
15%
24%
61%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
LOR
2 - 2
CIU
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
YEC
1 - 2
LOR
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 0
IMP
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
PIN
2 - 1
LOR
38%
27%
36%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |