Cieza vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 1
CIE
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
CIE
1 - 1
LOR
19%
23%
58%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PLU
0 - 0
CIE
30%
24%
46%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CIE
1 - 0
ABA
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
PUL
1 - 2
CIE
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 3
PUT
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
CCS
2 - 2
MAR
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
IMP
15%
23%
62%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | +7 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CDB
0 - 5
MAR
56%
23%
22%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
MSM
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |