Cieza vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
60.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CCS
1 - 1
CIE
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
CIE
1 - 1
CPE
61%
20%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 4
CIE
27%
25%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CIE
5 - 1
ABA
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
YEC
3 - 2
CIE
68%
19%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 1
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 17 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
CUA
0 - 1
LOR
15%
23%
63%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 1
CAR
81%
14%
6%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PIN
1 - 0
LOR
16%
24%
60%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CCS
1 - 2
LOR
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |