Cieza vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BUL
0 - 1
CIE
11%
20%
70%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CIE
1 - 0
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CIE
10 - 4
MSM
83%
12%
5%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ABA
3 - 3
CIE
11%
21%
68%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CIE
3 - 4
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 2
LOR
15%
20%
66%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 0
IMP
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MIN
0 - 2
LOR
16%
21%
63%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 4
LOR
14%
20%
66%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |