Cieza vs Cfba Caravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ALQ
3 - 2
CIE
12%
19%
69%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
CIE
0 - 1
MOR
49%
25%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CAL
2 - 2
CIE
61%
22%
17%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
CIE
2 - 0
JUM
64%
21%
16%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
IMP
1 - 4
CIE
37%
24%
40%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cfba Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
CFB
2 - 2
LOR
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
CIU
2 - 1
CFB
30%
24%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CFB
1 - 1
YEC
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
IMP
2 - 1
CFB
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CFB
1 - 0
PIN
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |