Cibao vs Vega Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cibao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2022 |
CFC
3 - 3
CAV
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CFC
3 - 0
VIO
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MOC
2 - 1
CFC
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CFC
5 - 1
SCR
61%
22%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 1
RFC
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 0
WAT
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 1
AFC
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
AVR
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 2
MOC
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
JAR
1 - 1
AVR
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |