Cibao vs Moca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
2º
1º
28
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cibao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 0
CFC
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 1
UNI
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 3
CFC
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
CFC
2 - 1
DEP
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 0
AFC
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
SCR
0 - 6
MOC
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 1
MOC
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MOC
2 - 0
UNI
36%
30%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 2
MOC
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
MOC
2 - 1
AVR
46%
29%
25%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |