Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 4
ARA
40%
30%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
CHO
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
SFF
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 2
CHO
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
AFC
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
TAU
0 - 1
SMI
42%
27%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SMI
0 - 1
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SMI
1 - 1
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 2
SMI
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
SMI
0 - 0
AMA
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |