Choco vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
LUG
3 - 2
CHO
86%
9%
5%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
CHO
2 - 0
ACF
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
ARO
2 - 0
CHO
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
CHO
4 - 0
MAR
86%
9%
5%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
CHO
0 - 0
DEP
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
CEL
4 - 2
BUE
81%
13%
7%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
FOZ
2 - 2
CEL
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
CEL
5 - 1
GRA
67%
19%
15%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
COM
2 - 1
CEL
89%
8%
4%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
CEL
1 - 1
RCF
18%
20%
62%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | +2 |