Choco vs Boiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
RCV
2 - 0
CHO
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 0
LAR
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
RIB
0 - 2
CHO
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 0
SIL
39%
25%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
BER
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Boiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BOI
2 - 1
ARE
78%
15%
8%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 2
BOI
15%
22%
64%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
BOI
3 - 0
NEG
85%
11%
4%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
OUR
0 - 1
BOI
17%
23%
61%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BOI
3 - 1
NOI
86%
11%
4%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |