Choco vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1964 |
FOZ
3 - 2
CHO
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
CEL
1 - 0
CHO
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
CHO
4 - 1
LUG
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +3 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ACF
1 - 1
CHO
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
CHO
1 - 2
ARO
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1964 |
ACF
1 - 0
ALO
55%
23%
22%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ACF
2 - 0
ARO
61%
22%
18%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
MAR
4 - 2
ACF
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ACF
1 - 1
CHO
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
BUE
1 - 1
ACF
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |