Chispa SD vs Villagarcía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chispa SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 4
CHI
36%
23%
41%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 2
RIB
47%
23%
31%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 6
CHI
42%
21%
37%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 3
POR
24%
22%
54%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FAX
1 - 2
CHI
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Villagarcía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
6 - 2
BEI
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
VIL
40%
23%
37%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAT
31%
21%
47%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
XIL
3 - 1
VIL
64%
18%
18%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 1
DOR
45%
22%
33%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |