Chirk AAA vs Mold Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
40.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
12º
15º
13º
35
2º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 2
COL
7%
14%
79%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 1
CON
52%
21%
28%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 2
RTW
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 0
AAA
47%
22%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
AAA
1 - 6
LLA
14%
21%
66%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -3 |
Matches
Mold Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
MOL
0 - 2
HOL
12%
18%
70%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MOL
3 - 4
CEF
38%
21%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 1
PRE
36%
20%
43%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
MOL
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
MOL
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +2 |