China vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CHN
3 - 1
PRK
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
CHN
0 - 1
JPN
20%
22%
58%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CHN
2 - 3
KOR
24%
23%
54%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
IRQ
1 - 1
CHN
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
CHN
2 - 1
SYR
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
JPN
4 - 1
THA
67%
20%
12%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
THA
1 - 0
IRQ
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
THA
1 - 0
PRK
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2007 |
THA
2 - 1
IRQ
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
THA
3 - 2
UZB
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |