China vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
CHN
2 - 1
PAR
33%
26%
40%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
CHN
3 - 0
THA
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
CHN
1 - 1
JOR
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
CHN
3 - 1
KWT
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
CHN
1 - 3
MLI
61%
22%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
UZB
3 - 1
NZL
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
NZL
0 - 0
RSA
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
JPN
4 - 2
NZL
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
NZL
2 - 4
MEX
9%
17%
74%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
MEX
5 - 1
NZL
81%
14%
6%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | -1 |