China vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2008 |
UAE
0 - 0
CHN
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
MMR
0 - 4
CHN
14%
24%
62%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
CHN
7 - 0
MMR
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2007 |
UZB
3 - 0
CHN
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
CHN
2 - 2
IRN
26%
23%
52%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2008 |
KWT
3 - 2
LBN
71%
18%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
IND
2 - 2
LBN
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
LBN
4 - 1
IND
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
NPL
1 - 1
LBN
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2007 |
JOR
3 - 0
LBN
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |