Chimbarongo vs General Velásquez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimbarongo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
TOM
5 - 0
CHI
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
BDS
3 - 1
CHI
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 1
LAU
22%
24%
55%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
DLI
2 - 1
CHI
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 2
EST
32%
26%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
GVE
3 - 1
LIM
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
MEJ
1 - 1
GVE
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
GAS
1 - 3
GVE
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
GVE
0 - 1
OVA
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FVC
1 - 1
GVE
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |