Chieti vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 0
CHI
35%
28%
37%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAR
19%
26%
55%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 2
CHI
33%
28%
39%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
ACG
53%
25%
22%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
GIU
0 - 1
CHI
31%
28%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FAN
4 - 2
USP
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FAN
0 - 1
LAQ
34%
26%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GIU
4 - 1
FAN
48%
26%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 0
ACP
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
FAN
52%
24%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |