Chieti vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
GAV
2 - 1
CHI
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARZ
32%
26%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 1
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
NEA
50%
25%
25%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LAQ
1 - 1
CHI
46%
26%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 0
RAA
50%
25%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FON
1 - 1
ASM
43%
25%
33%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 2
ACI
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 0
EBO
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
USV
1 - 1
ASM
31%
27%
41%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -2 |