Chicago Fire vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CFS
1 - 0
COR
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
CFS
2 - 1
NER
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
NER
0 - 1
CFS
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
CFS
3 - 0
KCW
50%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
CFS
1 - 2
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CHI
3 - 2
HOD
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
HOD
3 - 0
DAL
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
RSL
3 - 1
HOD
37%
28%
36%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
HOD
1 - 0
DAL
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2006 |
HOD
0 - 1
GAL
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |