Chiasso vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
NEX
2 - 1
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
BOL
0 - 0
CHI
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
NEX
0 - 0
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 3
WIN
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 2
WIL
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 1
BIE
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
SPL
0 - 2
FCA
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
GCZ
6 - 2
FCA
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FCA
3 - 4
FCL
21%
21%
58%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FCA
2 - 1
LEM
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |