Chesterfield vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
STF
2 - 1
CHE
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
NOT
0 - 1
CHE
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
CHE
2 - 1
EXE
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 2
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 3
CHE
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BOU
1 - 0
STA
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
BOU
1 - 0
STF
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
LIN
3 - 3
BOU
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
BOU
1 - 1
LUT
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BOU
3 - 1
WYC
35%
29%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |